Think Sarasin
View our latest insights on the matters that impact your investments
Q3 2024
HOUSE REPORT RUNNING ON EMPTY
We are in the middle of an extraordinary year for the global electorate. With our own political backdrop having changed so decisively, and the US election fast approaching, we are thirsty for details which will impact global economic progress.
Guy Monson, our Chief Market Strategist, sets out what investors should focus on.
Latest insights
Six minute strategy - The great rotation begins
As investors began to question the durability of the AI-led rally, we have started to see a widening in equity market leadership. Slower economic growth, the prospect of lower interest rates and AI-related challenges all suggest a rotation in the companies that drive the market’s returns. In our...
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Six minute strategy - Summer blues: pockets of value starts to emerge
Global stock markets have seen a big fall in one month, as some large technology names suffered the most. What does this mean for portfolios? We believe attractive pockets of value are emerging as equity market leadership widens. Guy Monson, our Chief Market Strategist, shares four key takeaways...
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Six minute strategy - When politics meets markets
Markets are finally showing signs of shifting. Global technology and AI stocks are slowing down, while value and yield stocks are recovering. This shift has coincided with political developments in the United States, where a Trump victory is becoming likely. So, why would a Trump administration trigger this...
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Can our politicians confront their deficits?
This month, indeed this year, has all been about politics, with almost half the global population voting in more than 70 elections across the world[1]. Last week in the UK saw Labour’s first victory from opposition in 27 years, a high-wire French parliamentary election and a pivotal debate...
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Government borrowing: the winners and losers
Governments are borrowing too much money. The party ends in a hangover; the question is how severe and who pays? Bigger government deficits were required after the financial crisis when the private sector was deleveraging and demographics were holding down inflation. But the world has now changed....
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AI: The new industrial revolution
A year ago, we wrote that the generative AI hype was rooted in genuine breakthroughs, forecasting significant long-term impacts and identifying hardware players as clear beneficiaries. Since then, AI has continued to dominate both news headlines and stock market performance, with the gap between perceived AI winners and...
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